Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.3%
Mantova
32.9%
Draw
25.8%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Mantova
vs
0.86
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.532.7%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
14.6%
1-1
14.5%
1-0
14.1%
0-1
10.1%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.9%
3-0
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).