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DHT: 10CSV

21 Dec 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.9%
Eibar
32.1%
Draw
28.0%
Granada

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Eibar

vs
0.80

Granada

Markets

BTTS35.2%
Over 0.584.0%
Over 1.554.3%
Over 2.527.6%
Over 3.511.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.6%
0-0
16.0%
1-1
13.1%
0-1
13.1%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
0-2
5.2%
3-0
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).