Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.3%
Sp Braga
10.2%
Draw
4.4%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
2.85
Sp Braga
vs
0.51
Boavista
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.543.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.2%
3-0
13.4%
1-0
10.2%
4-0
9.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
5-0
5.5%
4-1
4.9%
1-1
4.8%
0-0
3.3%
5-1
2.8%
0-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).