Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →4.8%
Northampton
7.9%
Draw
87.3%
Kettering Town
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Northampton
vs
3.75
Kettering Town
Markets
BTTS57.4%
Over 0.599.1%
Over 1.594.4%
Over 2.584.1%
Over 3.568.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
8.5%
0-4
8.0%
1-3
7.6%
1-4
7.1%
0-2
6.8%
1-2
6.0%
0-5
6.0%
1-5
5.3%
0-1
3.7%
2-3
3.4%
2-4
3.2%
1-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).