Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.0%
Crewe
23.1%
Draw
54.9%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Crewe
vs
1.59
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.3%
1-1
10.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
7.3%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.3%
0-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).