Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.8%
Fatih Karagümrük
34.3%
Draw
42.9%
Samsunspor
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Fatih Karagümrük
vs
1.34
Samsunspor
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.1%
0-0
13.5%
0-1
10.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).