Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.1%
RB Leipzig
15.6%
Draw
8.3%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
2.60
RB Leipzig
vs
0.77
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.565.5%
Over 3.543.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.6%
3-0
10.0%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.4%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
7.4%
4-0
6.5%
4-1
5.0%
0-0
3.9%
2-2
3.5%
5-0
3.4%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).