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DHT: 10CSV

09 Sept 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.0%
Kidderminster
29.5%
Draw
56.5%
Rochdale

Expected Goals (xG)

0.56

Kidderminster

vs
1.39

Rochdale

Markets

BTTS33.1%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.558.9%
Over 2.530.9%
Over 3.513.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
18.9%
0-0
15.2%
0-2
13.8%
1-1
12.0%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
7.0%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-1
3.1%
2-0
2.2%
0-4
2.2%
2-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).