Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.7%
Espanol
24.7%
Draw
36.6%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Espanol
vs
1.48
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS60.9%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.535.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.3%
0-1
7.0%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
5.7%
0-2
5.4%
0-0
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).