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17 May 2025 · 10:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.2%
Kolos Kovalivka
32.5%
Draw
32.3%
Karpaty

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Kolos Kovalivka

vs
0.93

Karpaty

Markets

BTTS38.1%
Over 0.584.7%
Over 1.557.2%
Over 2.529.8%
Over 3.512.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.3%
1-0
14.2%
1-1
13.9%
0-1
13.4%
2-0
7.1%
2-1
6.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-0
2.3%
3-1
2.2%
0-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).