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02 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.7%
Kharkiv
37.2%
Draw
31.1%
Polissya Zhytomyr

Expected Goals (xG)

0.77

Kharkiv

vs
0.76

Polissya Zhytomyr

Markets

BTTS28.7%
Over 0.577.8%
Over 1.545.3%
Over 2.519.6%
Over 3.56.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
22.2%
1-0
16.4%
0-1
16.1%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
6.2%
2-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-0
1.6%
0-3
1.6%
3-1
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).