Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.6%
Dover Athletic
27.5%
Draw
42.9%
Maidenhead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Dover Athletic
vs
1.50
Maidenhead
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
9.0%
0-0
7.7%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
1-0
7.0%
2-2
5.5%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).