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10 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.8%
Kaiserslautern
21.9%
Draw
24.4%
Karlsruhe

Expected Goals (xG)

2.22

Kaiserslautern

vs
1.47

Karlsruhe

Markets

BTTS69.4%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.571.2%
Over 3.550.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.0%
1-1
9.0%
3-1
6.7%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
1-2
6.0%
3-2
4.9%
1-0
4.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
0-0
3.3%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).