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HHT: 20CSV

22 Dec 2024 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.5%
Bochum
27.2%
Draw
27.3%
Heidenheim

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

Bochum

vs
1.14

Heidenheim

Markets

BTTS54.2%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
7.8%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).