Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.3%
Alloa
28.7%
Draw
32.0%
Arbroath
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Alloa
vs
1.17
Arbroath
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.1%
0-0
9.1%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).