Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.9%
Dresden
24.3%
Draw
50.8%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Dresden
vs
1.90
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS62.5%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.5%
0-1
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
6.1%
0-0
5.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-3
3.9%
2-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).