Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.0%
Reading
24.1%
Draw
33.0%
Stockport
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Reading
vs
1.20
Stockport
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.5%
1-1
11.4%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-0
6.3%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).