Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.5%
Avellino
29.0%
Draw
32.5%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Avellino
vs
1.22
Crotone
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
9.0%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).