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AHT: 00CSV

08 Dec 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.8%
Dundee
27.2%
Draw
28.1%
Aberdeen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.48

Dundee

vs
1.12

Aberdeen

Markets

BTTS52.7%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
8.1%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).