Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.6%
La Coruna
23.4%
Draw
34.0%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
La Coruna
vs
1.46
Almeria
Markets
BTTS62.2%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.538.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
7.4%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.7%
0-0
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).