Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.1%
Barrow
27.4%
Draw
24.4%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Barrow
vs
0.84
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.8%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
10.3%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).