Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.9%
Cartagena
23.0%
Draw
53.1%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Cartagena
vs
1.79
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS56.2%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
0-0
5.3%
0-3
5.2%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).