Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.4%
Wealdstone
15.0%
Draw
77.6%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Wealdstone
vs
2.66
Notts County
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.544.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.9%
0-3
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
0-1
8.4%
1-3
7.7%
1-1
7.1%
0-4
7.0%
1-4
5.1%
0-0
3.9%
0-5
3.7%
2-2
3.2%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).