Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →93.4%
Benfica
5.4%
Draw
1.2%
AVS
Expected Goals (xG)
3.68
Benfica
vs
0.37
AVS
Markets
BTTS30.2%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.591.4%
Over 2.576.8%
Over 3.557.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
14.5%
4-0
13.4%
2-0
11.8%
5-0
9.8%
1-0
6.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-1
4.9%
2-1
4.4%
5-1
3.6%
1-1
2.6%
0-0
1.9%
3-2
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).