Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.1%
M'gladbach
22.0%
Draw
60.9%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
M'gladbach
vs
2.08
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS56.7%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.7%
0-1
8.6%
1-3
6.9%
0-3
6.7%
0-0
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
2-1
4.9%
1-0
3.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).