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23 Sept 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.1%
Antwerp
20.8%
Draw
13.1%
RWD Molenbeek

Expected Goals (xG)

2.08

Antwerp

vs
0.81

RWD Molenbeek

Markets

BTTS49.3%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.0%
1-0
11.0%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.1%
4-0
4.3%
0-1
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
1-2
3.8%
4-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).