Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.2%
Santa Clara
30.6%
Draw
34.1%
Moreirense
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Santa Clara
vs
0.94
Moreirense
Markets
BTTS37.0%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.556.1%
Over 2.529.7%
Over 3.512.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
0-1
14.6%
0-0
14.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
3.0%
3-0
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).