Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.2%
Famalicao
27.6%
Draw
13.2%
Alverca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Famalicao
vs
0.57
Alverca
Markets
BTTS34.8%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.0%
2-0
14.2%
0-0
13.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-0
7.1%
0-1
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
4-0
2.7%
2-2
2.3%
0-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).