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AHT: 01CSV

26 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Wigan

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.1%
Rotherham
27.0%
Draw
30.0%
Wigan

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Rotherham

vs
0.95

Wigan

Markets

BTTS41.8%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.1%
1-1
12.2%
0-1
12.1%
0-0
10.5%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).