Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.1%
Sp Gijon
24.2%
Draw
25.7%
Andorra
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Sp Gijon
vs
1.11
Andorra
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.529.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).