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17 Feb 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.9%
Genoa
24.9%
Draw
20.2%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.57

Genoa

vs
0.84

Venezia

Markets

BTTS44.8%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
7.7%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).