Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.4%
Wigan
28.5%
Draw
56.1%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Wigan
vs
1.47
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS37.6%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.516.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.7%
0-0
13.0%
0-2
13.0%
1-1
12.4%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
6.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-1
3.7%
2-2
2.7%
2-0
2.5%
0-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).