Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.8%
Cosenza
30.4%
Draw
36.7%
Cesena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Cosenza
vs
1.23
Cesena
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.6%
0-1
10.1%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).