Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.2%
Crystal Palace
29.4%
Draw
45.5%
Chelsea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Crystal Palace
vs
1.49
Chelsea
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
9.9%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).