Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.8%
Red Star
27.5%
Draw
24.7%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Red Star
vs
0.79
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS37.6%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.559.0%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.4%
0-0
12.2%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
11.5%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).