Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.1%
Eibar
26.6%
Draw
19.3%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Eibar
vs
0.79
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
11.4%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.7%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).