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11 Sept 2021 · 17:20

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.7%
King’s Lynn
29.1%
Draw
36.2%
Dag and Red

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

King’s Lynn

vs
1.27

Dag and Red

Markets

BTTS52.0%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
0-1
9.3%
0-0
9.3%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).