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22 Jul 2023 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.4%
Lyngby Boldklub
23.7%
Draw
62.9%
FC Koln

Expected Goals (xG)

0.73

Lyngby Boldklub

vs
1.83

FC Koln

Markets

BTTS44.3%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.3%
0-2
13.0%
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.6%
0-3
7.9%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.7%
0-4
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
1-4
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).