Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.0%
Eldense
25.7%
Draw
53.3%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Eldense
vs
1.52
Elche
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.4%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
10.9%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
8.1%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
3.4%
0-4
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).