Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.9%
Swansea
27.0%
Draw
19.1%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Swansea
vs
0.86
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-0
11.0%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
6.3%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).