Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.2%
Plymouth
22.9%
Draw
21.9%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Plymouth
vs
0.90
Wigan
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
8.3%
0-0
7.1%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).