Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.4%
Plymouth
29.3%
Draw
38.2%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Plymouth
vs
1.27
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-1
10.3%
0-0
9.8%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).