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HHT: 10CSV

04 May 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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79.1%
Falkirk
15.1%
Draw
5.8%
Ross County

Expected Goals (xG)

2.69

Falkirk

vs
0.66

Ross County

Markets

BTTS46.3%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.543.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.6%
3-0
11.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
4-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
7.2%
4-1
5.1%
0-0
4.5%
5-0
4.1%
2-2
2.8%
5-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).