Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.2%
Oldham
29.8%
Draw
24.0%
Dag and Red
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Oldham
vs
0.91
Dag and Red
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
13.0%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).