Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.1%
Kilmarnock
30.0%
Draw
18.9%
Ayr
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Kilmarnock
vs
0.83
Ayr
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
11.7%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
6.2%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).