Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.6%
Falkirk
20.2%
Draw
8.1%
Airdrie Utd
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Falkirk
vs
0.64
Airdrie Utd
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.2%
1-0
11.6%
3-0
10.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
7.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
5.6%
4-1
3.6%
2-2
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
0-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).