Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.7%
Palermo
27.6%
Draw
27.6%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Palermo
vs
1.17
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS55.3%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
7.9%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).