Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →90.9%
Ath Madrid
6.9%
Draw
2.2%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
3.41
Ath Madrid
vs
0.44
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS34.7%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.573.9%
Over 3.553.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
14.0%
2-0
12.4%
4-0
12.0%
5-0
8.1%
1-0
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
2-1
5.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-1
3.6%
1-1
3.3%
0-0
2.2%
3-2
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).