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27 Oct 2024 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.5%
Khimki
20.5%
Draw
59.9%
Dinamo Moskva

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

Khimki

vs
2.42

Dinamo Moskva

Markets

BTTS68.7%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.590.1%
Over 2.572.9%
Over 3.552.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.1%
1-1
8.4%
1-3
7.3%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
0-3
5.4%
2-1
5.1%
2-3
5.0%
0-1
4.6%
1-4
4.4%
0-4
3.3%
0-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).