Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.5%
Guingamp
19.0%
Draw
18.5%
Caen
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Guingamp
vs
1.02
Caen
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.537.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
1-1
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
3-0
6.8%
0-1
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
0-0
3.8%
4-1
3.6%
4-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).